📍 MK40 2NR, Bedford
● System normal
📅 2026-06-20

EnergiFlux Dashboard

Smart battery charging using live Enphase data, tomorrow’s solar forecast, Octopus tariffs and Sunsynk battery control.

SOC Decision Lock

This separates the fixed locked SOC decision from the live preview. Manual changes should not overwrite the locked decision after 8pm.

Today Locked Target SOC
85%

For date: Saturday 2026-06-20

Status: LOCKED

Locked at: 2026-06-19 21:00:01 BST

Action: No charge needed — current SOC is already above the target

Weather outlook: Good solar day

Expected solar: 22.08 kWh

Expected usage: 27.46 kWh

Decision reason: Charge lower because tomorrow should provide useful solar generation

Tomorrow Live Preview SOC
45%

For date: Sunday 2026-06-21

Status: LIVE PREVIEW

Locks at: 20:00 UK time

Live preview action: No charge needed — current SOC is already above the target

Decision inputs
• Weather outlook: Good solar day
• Expected solar: 32.95 kWh
• Expected usage: 27.46 kWh
• Learned house curve: House curve available
• Solar after 15:30: 0.0 kWh / 0.0%
Why this target?
• Pure export calculation wanted a lower target to leave solar headroom.
• Usage forecast is high, so the system protects against expensive grid import.
• The learned house curve shows whether this property loses useful solar after 15:30.
• Final live preview target: 45%
• Manual safe option: 100% if avoiding grid import is more important than avoiding export.
Current Battery SOC / Forecast Context
90%

Current battery SOC: manual until Sunsynk API/gateway is connected.

Predicted usage: 27.46 kWh

Expected solar: 32.95 kWh

Target SOC: 45%

Brain summary
• Avoid export where sensible.
• Do not undercharge if that risks high-rate import.
• Keep reserve above the 30% battery floor.
• Use weather forecast + learned house solar curve.

Enphase Solar & Grid

Live Enphase data for today. Solar production comes from the Enphase live summary. House load, import and export are calculated from matched Enphase telemetry intervals.

Solar Produced Today
14.49
kWh today
House Consumed Today
21.61
kWh today
Grid Imported Today
8.02
kWh today
Grid Exported Today
0.9
kWh today
Net Grid Position
7.12 kWh
Solar Used On Site
13.59 kWh
Telemetry Solar
14.49 kWh
Solar System
21 panels
PV Size
9.24 kW

Decision Brain

Shows why EnergiFlux has chosen the current live preview SOC target, including the customer priority to avoid exporting solar. This is advisory only until the next 8pm lock.

Customer priority stack
1. Avoid exporting solar where possible
2. Avoid expensive grid import where sensible
3. Keep a sensible battery reserve
Usage model
Weekday learning for Sunday: forecast 27.46 kWh. Baseline 29.43 kWh, Sunday average 26.80 kWh from 1 sample(s), weekend average 27.15 kWh, recent 7-day average 27.93 kWh. Completed-day Enphase learning forecast is 27.46 kWh with rolling context recent average 27.57 kWh.
Enphase context
Enphase live today data: solar today 8.86 kWh, load today 25.67 kWh, import 17.68 kWh, export 0.44 kWh, net import 17.24 kWh. Live update at 14:00:03 UK using 55 matched telemetry intervals.
Learned house solar curve
House solar curve available in house_solar_curve.json
Total solar learned today: 5.77 kWh
Solar after 15:30: 0.0 kWh / 0.0%
Updated: latest Enphase curve
Decision inputs
Weather outlook: Good solar day
Expected solar generation: 32.95 kWh
Expected household consumption: 27.46 kWh
Weather confidence: sunny_confident. No weather SOC adjustment applied. Priority=avoid_export, sunny_source_present=True, cloudy_source_present=False, expected_solar=32.95 kWh.
Target SOC: 45%
Action
No charge needed — current SOC is already above the target
Weather confidence
sunny_confident. No weather SOC adjustment applied. Priority=avoid_export, sunny_source_present=True, cloudy_source_present=False, expected_solar=32.95 kWh.
Export-aware SOC decision
Customer priority is avoid export without causing high-rate grid import. Pure export headroom calculation suggested 40% by leaving about 32.95 kWh / 100% battery headroom. However, forecast band is very strong solar forecast and established house curve fades early with strong solar surplus override, so import-risk minimum is 40%. Battery hard floor is 30% with a 10% operating buffer. Solar timing check: Useful late-day solar after 15:30. Learned house curve: House curve: solar fades early after 15:30 (established, 32 day(s)). Target SOC set from 30% to 40%. Strong solar surplus override active: True. Expected solar is 32.95 kWh and predicted usage is 27.46 kWh. If avoiding high-rate grid import is the overriding priority, a manual 100% SOC target is the safest option for tonight.
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☀️
Forecast Solar
32.95
kWh tomorrow
🏠
Predicted Usage
27.46
kWh tomorrow
Net Energy Needed
0.00
kWh after solar
🐙
Octopus Go Cheap Rate
9.5p
/kWh 00:30–04:30
🔆
Day Rate
34.32p
/kWh
📤
Export Rate
15.0p
/kWh
💰
Daily Saving
£1.33
estimated
🏆
Best Tariff Tonight
Octopus Go
best choice
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Household Usage Trend

Predicted Usage
27.46
kWh tomorrow
Recent Average
27.57
kWh/day
Latest Usage
22.90
kWh latest day
Solar Average
16.47
kWh/day

🧠 Long-term learning from Enphase meter data. Used to improve tomorrow’s battery target, not as a live meter reading.

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Tomorrow’s Weather Forecast

🌤️
23.34°C
Good solar day
Cloud Cover98%
Temperature23.34°C
Expected Solar32.95 kWh
LocationBedford,UK

Forecast for tomorrow’s daylight hours, not the current weather outside now.

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Tariff Comparison Tonight Best choice

Tariff Overnight Rate Day Rate Est. Cost
🐙 Octopus Go BEST 9.5p/kWh 34.32p/kWh £0.47
🌀 Agile Octopus 13.31p/kWh 34.32p/kWh £0.67
☀️ Day Rate 34.32p/kWh 34.32p/kWh £1.72

Octopus Go is best for tonight because the guaranteed overnight cheap rate beats the Agile slots available.

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Savings Overview

Projected savings over recent history

£24.42
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Savings Breakdown Tomorrow

🔵 Avoided high rate£0.7355%
🟢 Octopus Go cheap rate£0.4735%
🟡 Solar self-consumption£0.086%
🟣 Export earnings£0.054%
✨ Charging in the cheap window helps save £1.33 tomorrow.
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System Setup

EnergiFlux is using two separate systems: Enphase for solar data and Sunsynk for battery/inverter control.

☀️
Solar System: Enphase
21 panels · 9.24 kW PV · API connected
Active ✓
🔋
Battery System: Sunsynk
8 kW Sunsynk inverter · 20 kWh battery storage · SOC manual for now
Manual SOC
🐙
Smart Tariff
Octopus Go 12M Fixed
Active ✓
📤
Export Rate Included
15.0p/kWh
Active ✓
Selected Tariff
🐙 Octopus Go 12M Fixed
Overnight Rate
9.5p/kWh
Day Rate
34.32p/kWh
Saving Spread
24.82p/kWh
Export Rate
15.0p/kWh